147 Childers Heights, Ballina, Co. Mayo, F26 XH59
14 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€259,000 · 3 Bed · 1 Bath · 97m² · Semi-D
Market Position
At the Upper End of Local Sales
At €259,000, this home is priced above what similar properties sold for — buyers at this level tend to overpay without a defined ceiling.
14 closed sales nearby · 14mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €259,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €12,950 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €259,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
These signals interact — full analysis in report.
€12,950
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €259,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €259,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 14 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Price Distribution Analysis
14 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price is positioned above the median of comparable sales. This places the property outside the core transaction band where most comparable homes closed. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Statistical Confidence · High
14
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
14 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±19%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 14 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 149 Childers Heights, Ballina, Co Mayo, Mayo | 2025-10-16 | 107m² | |
| 10 Waterstone, Rehins, Ballina, Mayo | 2025-04-28 | 127.7m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
BER Upgrade Investment: Improving the D BER rating to a B2 could cost an estimated €8,000-€12,000 but may increase property value by €15,000-€20,000, offering a positive return on investment.
Energy Cost Burden: A D BER rating for a 97.0m² property likely results in annual energy costs of €1,800-€2,200, compared to potentially €800-€1,200 for a B2-rated equivalent, a difference of €1,000-€1,400 annually.
Space Efficiency: With 97.0m² across 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, the property offers a standard layout, but a second bathroom would significantly enhance its appeal and marketability in comparable sales.
Hypothesis: The presence of 6 sales of the same semi-detached type within 1km over 180 days at a median price of €275,500 suggests that properties with higher BER ratings or potentially better configurations (like an extra bathroom) are achieving a significant premium, making upgrades highly strategic.
Amenities
Limited Local Transport: While Ballina is served by Bus Éireann routes, there are no Luas or DART stops, and the nearest train station would require travel to within the town, indicating reliance on regional bus services for connectivity.
Local Services Available: Ballina offers essential amenities including supermarkets like Tesco and Dunnes Stores, schools such as St. Muredach's College, and healthcare facilities like Mayo University Hospital, providing a good base of local services.
Green Space Access: The proximity to Belleek Park and the River Moy offers residents opportunities for outdoor recreation, enhancing the lifestyle appeal for families and individuals who value nature and walking routes.
Hypothesis: The lack of direct public transport links to major urban centres from Ballina, coupled with its designation as 'Outside Dublin', suggests that commuter appeal is limited, and property value growth will be more closely tied to local employment opportunities and regional development plans rather than national transport infrastructure.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW flood extent mapping (CFRAM fluvial + NCFHM coastal) and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from the National Planning Application Database via MyPlan.ie — merged Local Authority planning registers from the Department of Housing. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.