14 Ballydowd Grove, Lucan, Co Dublin, K78 A4C2
8 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€650,000 · 4 Bed · 2 Bath · 138m² · Detached
Market Position
Priced Above Local Sales
At €650,000, this home is priced above what most similar properties sold for recently. Buyers at this level have historically paid a premium — a disciplined opening offer and a firm walk-away ceiling are essential.
8 closed sales nearby · 10mo recency · Moderate confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €650,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €32,500 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €650,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
These signals interact — full analysis in report.
€32,500
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €650,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €650,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 8 verified local sales · Moderate confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Price Distribution Analysis
8 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price is positioned above the median of comparable sales. This places the property outside the core transaction band where most comparable homes closed. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Statistical Confidence · Moderate
8
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
10 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±20%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
Moderate
Confidence Level
Sale prices in this area vary more than usual, so there is some uncertainty in the figures. Bid conservatively and in small increments.
Limited recent transaction volume reduces trend precision. Strategy remains anchored to closed-sale distribution.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 8 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sisters Of St Francis, 3 St Andrew's Fairway, Lucan, Dublin | 2025-11-25 | 122.9m² | |
| 45 Larkfield Way, Lucan, Dublin, Dublin | 2025-10-16 | 170m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
BER Rating Cost: Upgrading the BER rating from F to a B2 standard for a property of this size (138m²) could cost between €15,000 to €20,000 and is estimated to increase the property's value by €25,000 to €35,000.
Space Efficiency: The property offers a substantial 138m² of living space across 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, which is a good size for family living and generally aligns with detached property standards.
Value Optimization Opportunity: Given the F BER rating, investing in insulation, heating system upgrades, and window replacements could unlock significant long-term value and appeal, particularly if similar nearby properties have higher ratings.
Hypothesis: The F BER rating is a significant detractor, and while upgrades are costly, the market data suggests that properties with better BER ratings command a substantial premium; therefore, strategic improvements could yield a positive return on investment far exceeding the upgrade costs, particularly if the market moves towards greater energy efficiency mandates.
Amenities
Transport Connectivity: Lucan is served by Dublin Bus routes including the 25, 25A, 66, and 66A, offering direct access to Dublin city centre.
Local Services and Facilities: Residents have access to Liffey Valley Shopping Centre for retail, with nearby schools like Lucan Community College and St. Mary's Boys National School.
Green Spaces and Recreation: The property is within proximity to parks such as Griffeen Park, providing recreational amenities and walking routes.
Hypothesis: While the public transport links are functional for commuting to Dublin city centre, the absence of a direct Luas or DART line within a reasonable walking distance means that travel times can be extended, potentially capping the property's appeal to a segment of the market that prioritizes rapid transit options.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW flood extent mapping (CFRAM fluvial + NCFHM coastal) and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from the National Planning Application Database via MyPlan.ie — merged Local Authority planning registers from the Department of Housing. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.