13 Shackleton Cross, Lucan, Co. Dublin, K78 T9X8
15 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€529,000 · 3 Bed · 3 Bath · 112m² · End of Terrace
Market Position
At the Upper End of Local Sales
At €529,000, this home is priced above what similar properties sold for — buyers at this level tend to overpay without a defined ceiling.
15 closed sales nearby · 11mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €529,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €26,450 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €529,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
€26,450
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €529,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €529,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 15 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Price Distribution Analysis
15 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price sits marginally above the median of comparable sales. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Statistical Confidence · High
15
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
11 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±8%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 15 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Halwell Road, Hallwell, Adamstown, Dublin | 2025-04-17 | 168m² | |
| 23 Shackelton Way, Shackleton Park, Lucan, Dublin | 2025-09-16 | 116m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
Energy Efficiency Advantage: With an A3 BER rating, this property's annual energy costs are estimated to be €800-€1,200, compared to €1,800-€2,200 for comparable D-rated properties of similar size.
Space Alignment: The property's 112m² size is comparable to the average property size of 123.75m² within a 1km radius over the last 180 days, fitting well within local expectations.
BER Value Proposition: While an A3 BER is excellent, a further upgrade to A2 could potentially increase market appeal and future-proof against rising energy prices, with minimal additional investment required.
Hypothesis: Given the A3 BER rating, the property offers significant immediate savings on energy bills. However, investing €3,000-€5,000 in minor smart home technology upgrades could further enhance its marketability, potentially adding €7,000-€10,000 in perceived value by appealing to tech-savvy buyers.
Amenities
Excellent Transport Hub: The property is served by Dublin Bus routes 25, 66, and 67, providing direct access to Dublin city center and beyond.
Key Services Nearby: Residents have access to St. Mary's National School (within 1km), Lucan Village Shopping Centre (within 1km), and Connolly Hospital (within 3km).
Green Space Access: The property is situated approximately 1.5km from the expansive Phoenix Park, offering significant recreational opportunities.
Hypothesis: The proximity to established local amenities in Lucan, coupled with the improved connectivity from potential future infrastructure projects in the west Dublin corridor, could see property values in this micro-location increase by an additional 3-5% above the general market average over the next five years.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW flood extent mapping (CFRAM fluvial + NCFHM coastal) and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from the National Planning Application Database via MyPlan.ie — merged Local Authority planning registers from the Department of Housing. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.