11 Heather Drive, Rathfarnham, Ballinteer, Dublin 16, D16 PX97
109 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€595,000 · 3 Bed · 1 Bath · 84m² · Semi-D
Market Position
Priced Within Local Sold Range
At €595,000, this home is priced within the typical range of 109 recent closed sales nearby. There's room to negotiate — seller leverage is 4.3/10. If bidding heats up, you'll need a clear ceiling to avoid overpaying.
109 closed sales nearby · 10mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €595,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
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Overbidding by 5% could cost €29,750 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €595,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
These signals interact — full analysis in report.
€29,750
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €595,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €25 check before a €595,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 109 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Price Distribution Analysis
109 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price sits marginally above the size-adjusted median. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
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Local Market Momentum
Unlock to adjust radius, timespan, and comparison window.
Radius: 1.5kmTime: 18m12m vs 12mMedian transaction price per m² has increased 2.1% year-on-year, based on the trailing 18-month transaction window.
Local pricing conditions remain stable. No significant directional pressure.
Recent closed sales are time-adjusted to current market conditions before calculating transaction bands.
Statistical Confidence · High
109
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
10 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±10%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 109 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Heather Lawn, Marlay Wood, Dublin 16, Dublin | 2025-10-31 | 103m² | |
| 13 Heather Lawn, Rathfarnham, Dublin 16, Dublin 16, Dublin | 2025-01-15 | 107m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
BER Improvement Opportunity: Upgrading the C1 BER rating to a B2 could cost an estimated €10,000-€15,000 and potentially increase property value by €18,000-€25,000, offering a solid return on investment.
Space Efficiency: With 84.0m² and 3 bedrooms, the property offers a reasonable space-per-bedroom ratio, aligning with typical family needs in the area.
Value Optimization Potential: The property's C1 BER rating, while not poor, represents a tangible area for improvement, with potential energy cost savings of €900-€1,300 annually compared to a D-rated property of similar size, and a clear path to value enhancement.
Hypothesis: While the C1 BER is acceptable, the proximity to a wider range of Dublin properties with potentially higher BER ratings (not provided but implied by market data) means that a strategic investment in energy efficiency upgrades could significantly differentiate this property in future sales, especially as energy costs remain a key consideration for buyers.
Amenities
Transport Connectivity Hub: Residents have access to Dublin Bus routes 44 and 65, connecting to city centre and surrounding areas, with the nearest Luas Green Line stop at Dundrum being approximately 3km away.
Educational Proximity: The area is well-served by educational institutions, including Ballinteer Educate Together National School (within 1km) and secondary options like St. Tiernan's Community School (within 1.5km).
Local Retail Access: Nearby shopping includes Supervalu Ballinteer (within 1km) and Nutgrove Shopping Centre (approximately 2km away), offering a wide range of retail and convenience options.
Hypothesis: The established residential infrastructure, with a strong presence of local schools and shopping centres like Nutgrove, suggests that the long-term desirability of this location is likely to remain robust, underpinning future property value appreciation despite the current asking price discrepancy.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW CFRAM flood extent mapping and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from national planning application records via MyPlan.ie. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.