10 The Spinnaker, Arran Quay, Smithfield, Dublin 7, D07 FT28
201 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€295,000 · 1 Bed · 1 Bath · 54m² · Apartment
Market Position
Below Typical Sale Prices
At €295,000, this home is priced below what similar properties sold for in the area. That's a favourable starting position — but consider a structural survey before committing.
201 closed sales nearby · 10mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €295,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €14,750 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €295,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
These signals interact — full analysis in report.
€14,750
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €295,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €295,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 201 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
From €19 for your strategy on a €295,000 home. Independent valuations start at €150 — same data source, fraction of the cost.
Price Distribution Analysis
201 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price is positioned below the size-adjusted median, suggesting favourable entry conditions. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Local Market Momentum
Unlock to adjust radius, timespan, and comparison window.
Radius: 1.5kmTime: 18m12m vs 12mMedian transaction price per m² has increased 1.5% year-on-year, based on the trailing 18-month transaction window.
Local pricing conditions remain stable. No significant directional pressure.
Recent closed sales are time-adjusted to current market conditions before calculating transaction bands.
Statistical Confidence · High
201
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
10 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±16%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 201 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apt 223, The Schooner, Arran Quay Dublin 7, Dublin 7, Dublin | 2025-02-24 | 44m² | |
| 29 The Chandler, Aran Quay, Dublin 7, Dublin 7, Dublin | 2025-04-30 | 38m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
BER Improvement Potential: Upgrading the C2 BER rating to a B2 could cost an estimated €5,000 - €8,000 but may increase property value by €9,000 - €12,000.
Details
- Energy Cost Savings: With a C2 BER rating, annual energy costs are estimated to be around €1,400 - €1,800, compared to €900 - €1,200 for a B-rated property of similar size.
- Size Efficiency: At 54.0m², the property is slightly larger than the average 1-bedroom apartment size of 45.25m² sold within a 1km radius in the last 30 days.
- Hypothesis: Given that 100% of properties within 1km have an unknown BER rating over the last 180 days, proactive marketing of this property's C2 rating could create a significant advantage by highlighting its relative energy efficiency and lower running costs to potential buyers.
Amenities
Excellent Transport Hub: The property is within a 500m walk of the Smithfield Luas Red Line stop and served by Dublin Bus routes 25, 66, and 67, offering direct city centre access.
Details
- Prime Location Services: Within walking distance are Jameson Distillery Bow St., the Light House Cinema, and numerous cafes and restaurants, providing ample lifestyle amenities.
- Educational Access: Proximity to Trinity College Dublin (2km) and TU Dublin - Grangegorman Campus (1km) makes this an attractive location for students and faculty.
- Hypothesis: The concentration of new residential developments and increased foot traffic in Smithfield, coupled with ongoing investment in public transport infrastructure like the Luas cross-city expansion, suggests a sustained upward trajectory for property values in this area due to enhanced commuter convenience and urban regeneration.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW CFRAM flood extent mapping and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from national planning application records via MyPlan.ie. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.