1 lake view, loch gowna, lough gowna, co. cavan, h12 vx98
15 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€375,000 · 4 Bed · 3 Bath · 190m² · Detached
Market Position
At the Upper End of Local Sales
At €375,000, this home is priced well above what similar properties sold for in this area. Overpayment risk is high at this level. A structured bid strategy is critical.
15 closed sales nearby · 17mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €375,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €18,750 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €375,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
€18,750
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €375,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €375,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 15 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Price Distribution Analysis
15 verified closed sales within 5.0km · 36 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%). Filters broadened to increase sample size.
Asking price is positioned above the median of comparable sales. This places the property outside the core transaction band where most comparable homes closed. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Financial Exposure · 26% Above Median
If purchased at asking, you are paying above where most similar homes sold. A defined ceiling is designed to close this gap.
If purchased at asking
€375,000
Above transaction median
Above Upper Range
Buying at asking would put you well above what similar homes sold for — that's elevated overpayment risk.
Statistical Confidence · High
15
Transactions Analysed
Within 5.0km
17 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±20%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 15 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Lake View, Loch Gowna, Cavan, Cavan | 2025-11-20 | 190.4m² | |
| 33 Loch Eala, Strabby, Loch Gowna, Cavan | 2025-06-25 | 221m² |
Transactions within a 5.0km radius and 36-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
Strong Energy Efficiency: With a B-rated BER, this 190m² detached property offers significant energy cost savings, potentially reducing annual expenses by €1,000 to €1,500 compared to a typical D-rated home of similar size, enhancing long-term affordability.
Generous Family Sizing: At 190m² with 4 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms, this property is significantly larger and better configured than the median property sold within a 20km radius over the past 90 days, which typically features 3 bedrooms and 2-3 bathrooms.
Above-Average Specifications: The property's 4-bedroom, 3-bathroom layout and 'Very Large' size category position it above the average offering within the 10km radius, where the median properties sold over the last 30 days also had 4 beds and 3 baths but with a much lower median sale price, suggesting this property offers a premium in specifications.
Hypothesis: The exceptional size and strong BER rating of this property suggest it will appeal to a specific buyer segment seeking modern, spacious, and energy-efficient living in a rural setting, allowing it to command a premium above the local median despite market size.
Amenities
Lakeside Lifestyle & Local Charm: Situated at '1 Lake View, Lough Gowna', the property offers direct access to Lough Gowna's natural amenities, including fishing, boating, and scenic walking trails around the lake, providing a unique rural lifestyle appeal.
Essential Local Services: The property benefits from proximity to key village amenities such as Lough Gowna National School (approx. 1km), local shops (e.g., Gowna Stores), and the Gowna Medical Centre (GP) within 2km, catering to daily needs.
Regional Connectivity: While in a rural setting, the property offers access to regional transport via Bus Éireann routes, such as Route 162 from nearby Granard (approx. 10km away), connecting to larger towns like Cavan (approx. 25km) and Longford, providing essential links for commuters and services.
Hypothesis: The strong natural amenity of Lough Gowna, combined with essential local services, is likely to attract buyers seeking a tranquil, community-focused lifestyle, potentially driving increased demand for properties offering recreational access and a slower pace of life, particularly for remote workers or retirees.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW flood extent mapping (CFRAM fluvial + NCFHM coastal) and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from the National Planning Application Database via MyPlan.ie — merged Local Authority planning registers from the Department of Housing. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.