1 Hawthorn Drive, Mountain Bay, Arklow, Co. Wicklow, Y14 Y243
8 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€395,000 · 4 Bed · 2 Bath · 130m² · Semi-D
Market Position
Priced Within Local Sold Range
At €395,000, this home is priced within the typical range of 8 recent closed sales nearby. There's room to negotiate — seller leverage is 1.5/10. If bidding heats up, you'll need a clear ceiling to avoid overpaying.
8 closed sales nearby · 8mo recency · Moderate confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €395,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €19,750 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €395,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
€19,750
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €395,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €395,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 8 verified local sales · Moderate confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
From €19 for your strategy on a €395,000 home. Independent valuations start at €150 — same data source, fraction of the cost.
Price Distribution Analysis
8 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price sits marginally below the size-adjusted median. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Statistical Confidence · Moderate
8
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
8 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±20%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
Moderate
Confidence Level
Sale prices in this area vary more than usual, so there is some uncertainty in the figures. Bid conservatively and in small increments.
Limited recent transaction volume reduces trend precision. Strategy remains anchored to closed-sale distribution.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 8 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Hawthorn Dr, Mountain Bay, Arklow, Wicklow | 2025-10-06 | 130m² | |
| Ses Salines, Sea Rd, Arklow, Wicklow | 2025-02-04 | 105.9m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
Energy Efficiency Investment: With a D1 BER, upgrading to a B2 rating could cost €8,000-€12,000 but potentially boost the property's value by €15,000-€20,000, significantly reducing annual energy costs from an estimated €1,800-€2,200 to €800-€1,200.
Details
- Spacious Living: At 130m² with 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, this semi-detached house offers significantly more space than the local median of 3-bedroom properties, catering well to larger families or those seeking extra living area.
- Modernisation Opportunity: While offering a desirable 4-bed, 2-bath layout, the D1 BER suggests potential for further modern improvements beyond energy efficiency, which could enhance its market appeal and command a higher valuation in line with current buyer expectations.
- Hypothesis: With the local median for sold properties being 3-bed, a 4-bed home with a D1 BER will increasingly appeal to buyers looking for space, but only if its energy inefficiencies are addressed, as demand shifts towards more sustainable and lower-cost-to-run homes.
Amenities
Commuter Accessibility: The property benefits from strong transport links with Arklow Train Station offering regular Irish Rail services on the Dublin-Rosslare Europort line, complemented by Bus Éireann Route 133 providing connections to Dublin City Centre, and easy access to the M11 motorway.
Details
- Local Conveniences: Arklow provides a range of amenities including Bridgewater Shopping Centre with major retailers, multiple primary (e.g., St. Joseph's National School) and secondary schools (e.g., St. Mary's College), and essential healthcare facilities like Arklow Medical Centre.
- Community Living: Situated in Mountain Bay, this property offers pedestrian access to local residential streets and green spaces, while Arklow town centre, with its shops, cafes, and services, is within a reasonable walking or short driving distance.
- Hypothesis: Arklow's robust local amenities combined with improving transport links to Dublin position it as a growing commuter town for families, making this property particularly appealing to those seeking more space and a higher quality of life at a relatively lower cost than properties closer to the capital.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW CFRAM flood extent mapping and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from national planning application records via MyPlan.ie. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.